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Tropical cyclone forecasting

Known as: Mariner's 1-2-3 rule, Hurricane tracking, Hurricane track 
Tropical cyclone forecasting is the science of forecasting where a tropical cyclone's center, and its effects, are expected to be at some point in… Expand
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Related topics

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Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting modelMathematical modelTropical cyclone forecast modelTropical cyclone track forecasting

Papers overview

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Highly Cited
2016
Highly Cited
2016
Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
Abstract. Meteorological centres make sustained efforts to provide seasonal forecasts that are increasingly skilful, which has… Expand
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Highly Cited
2011
Highly Cited
2011
Revision of Convection and Vertical Diffusion Schemes in the NCEP Global Forecast System
A new physics package containing revised convection and planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes in the National Centers for… Expand
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2010
2010
How do uncertainties in hurricane model forecasts affect storm surge predictions in a semi-enclosed bay?
With the increasing demand for accurate storm surge predictions in coastal regions, there is an urgent need to understand and… Expand
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Highly Cited
2009
Highly Cited
2009
Metrics of hurricane-ocean interaction: vertically-integrated or vertically-averaged ocean temperature?
The ocean thermal field is often represented in hurricane-ocean interaction by a metric termed upper Ocean Heat Content (OHC… Expand
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Highly Cited
2007
Highly Cited
2007
Evaluation of GFDL and Simple Statistical Model Rainfall Forecasts for U.S. Landfalling Tropical Storms
Abstract To date, little objective verification has been performed for rainfall predictions from numerical forecasts of… Expand
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Highly Cited
2007
Highly Cited
2007
Hurricane-induced motions and interaction with ocean currents
Hurricanes produce mixing and flow divergences (and convergences) that alter the upper-ocean heat content (OHC), which in turn… Expand
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Highly Cited
2006
Highly Cited
2006
Effects of Vertical Wind Shear and Storm Motion on Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Asymmetries Deduced from TRMM
Abstract Vertical wind shear and storm motion are two of the most important factors contributing to rainfall asymmetries in… Expand
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Highly Cited
2006
Highly Cited
2006
Numerical Simulation of Hurricane Bonnie (1998). Part II: Sensitivity to Varying Cloud Microphysical Processes
In this study, the effects of various cloud microphysics processes on the hurricane intensity, precipitation, and inner-core… Expand
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Highly Cited
2000
Highly Cited
2000
Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts for Weather and Seasonal Climate.
Abstract In this paper the performance of a multimodel ensemble forecast analysis that shows superior forecast skills is… Expand
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Highly Cited
1983
Highly Cited
1983
Tropical Cyclone Motion: Environmental Interaction Plus a Beta Effect,
Abstract The dynamics of tropical cyclone motion are investigated by solving for instantaneous motion tendencies using the… Expand
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