The Good Judgment Project

Known as: Good Judgment Project 
The Good Judgment Project (GJP) is a project "harnessing the wisdom of the crowd to forecast world events". It was co-created by Philip E. Tetlock… (More)
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Topic mentions per year

Topic mentions per year

2012-2016
01220122016

Papers overview

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2017
2017
This article proposes an Item Response Theoretical (IRT) forecasting model that incorporates proper scoring rules and provides… (More)
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2016
Review
2016
Let me say from the outset that this is an excellent book to read. It is not only informative, as it should be for a book on… (More)
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2015
2015
  • Morgan Motzel
  • 2015
This paper sets out to explore the relationships between institutional constraints and predictability in geopolitical forecasting… (More)
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2014
Review
2014
In a series of reports and meetings in Spring 2011, intelligence analysts and officials debated the chances that Osama bin Laden… (More)
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2014
Review
2014
The US Intelligence Community (IC) has been heavily criticized for making inaccurate estimates. Many scholars and officials… (More)
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2012
2012
Many methods have been proposed for making use of multiple experts to predict uncertain events such as election outcomes, ranging… (More)
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