Dry and wet spell probability by Markov chain model- a case study of North Lakhimpur (Assam), India
@article{Dabral2014DryAW, title={Dry and wet spell probability by Markov chain model- a case study of North Lakhimpur (Assam), India}, author={Paritosh Dabral and Kuntal Purkayastha and Mai Lan Aram}, journal={International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering}, year={2014}, volume={7}, pages={8-13}, url={https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:131601920} }
The analysis showed that monsoon starts effectively from week 23rd (4th June to 10th June) in North Lakhimpur, India and is ideal time for initiation of wet land preparation for growing long duration rice variety.
10 Citations
Analysis of dry and wet weeks of rainfall by using Markov Chain - A case study at Jorhat (Assam), India
- 2022
Environmental Science, Agricultural and Food Sciences
Knowledge of the weekly dry and wet spell rainfall analysis is an important aspect for successful agricultural planning as well as water conservation techniques. The rainfall data during the period…
A Markov Chain Analysis of Wet and Dry Spell for Agricultural Crop Planning in the Middle Belt Region of Nigeria
- 2019
Agricultural and Food Sciences, Environmental Science
The frequencies of dry and wet spells and probabilities of dry and wet spell weeks were analysed from 1981 – 2010 in the Middle Belt region (MBR) of Nigeria. Daily rainfall (mm) data were obtained…
Dry and wet spell probability analysis using Markov chain model for planning jute-based cropping systems in eastern India
- 2025
Agricultural and Food Sciences
Knowledge about the rainfall distribution, frequency of dry and wet spells, and the probable weeks of the onset and termination of monsoon season are the prerequisite for planning agricultural…
Probability of dry and wet spells over West Africa during the summer monsoon season
- 2021
Environmental Science
This work aims at characterizing the conditional probability of single or consecutive dry and wet days in West Africa using the first-order Markov chain approach during the monsoon season (June to…
Analysis of Dry-Spells in the Western Maize-Growing Areas of South Africa
- 2023
Agricultural and Food Sciences, Environmental Science
Crop yield in rainfed agriculture is directly influenced by rainfall patterns, which vary from one growing season to another. The failure or success of such crops can depend on the amount and…
Long term rainfall analysis and crop planning for Jagdalpur region of Chhattisgarh
- 2020
Agricultural and Food Sciences
The available daily rainfall data of 40 years (1980-2019) at SGCARS, Kumarawand, Jagdalpur, District Bastar was examined for long term rainfall averages on weekly basis for Kharif season and its…
Spatial and temporal analysis of dry spell variability in Aceh, Indonesia: Implications for drought mitigation and agricultural planning
- 2025
Environmental Science, Agricultural and Food Sciences
Understanding the spatial and temporal variability of dry spells is critical for effective agricultural planning and water resource management, particularly in regions prone to climate variability.…
Journal of Agrometeorology
- 2023
Agricultural and Food Sciences, Environmental Science
The long-term fluctuations in dry-wet spells were assessed at standard meteorological week (SMW) over India using Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS) rainfall data. The…
Assessment of Markov Chain Model orders for daily precipitation prediction in Aceh Province, Indonesia
- 2025
Environmental Science
Accurate prediction of daily precipitation is essential for effective water resource management, agricultural planning, and disaster preparedness. This study evaluates the performance of first- and…
Trend analysis of wet spell in different districts of Bastar plateau in Chhattisgarh
- 2019
Environmental Science, Agricultural and Food Sciences
The study of trend wet spell in different districts of Bastar plateau in Chhattisgarh. For this study, long term rainfall data of 11 stations were collected from the Department of Agrometeorology,…
19 References
Dry spell probability by markov chain model and its application to crop planning in kolhapur (M.S.)
- 2003
Agricultural and Food Sciences
The average annual rainfall 988.8 mm is received at Kolhapur in 64 rainy days with 24.0 % coefficient of variation, indicating slight variation among the yearly values. Probability analysis reveals…
Markov chain approach - dry and wet spell rainfall probabilities for rice-wheat planning.
- 2009
Agricultural and Food Sciences
Among different weather variables, rainfall is the major determinant and deciding factor for success or failure of rainfed agriculture. For agricultural planning and farming operations, information…
A Markov chain model for daily rainfall occurrence at Tel Aviv
- 1962
Environmental Science
A Markov chain probability model is found to fit Tel Aviv data of daily rainfall occurrence. This accounts for the form of the distributions of dry and of wet spells and of weather ‘cycles’ which…
Dry spell probability by Markov chain model and its application to crop developmental stages
- 1979
Agricultural and Food Sciences
A first order Markov chain model has been fitted to daily rainfall data of tbe monsoon months in the Delhi region. Conditional probabilities, length of dry spells for different cumulative…
Computing a Probability Distribution for the Start of the Rains from a Markov Chain Model for Precipitation
- 1982
Environmental Science, Mathematics
Abstract The start of the rains is defined to be the first day, or two-day rain spell, in which greater than a specified total amount of rain occurs. A method of calculating the probability…
Management Science: An Introduction to Modern Quantitative Analysis and Decision Making
- 1976
Business, Mathematics
Management science: an introduction to modern quantitative analysis and decision making , Management science: an introduction to modern quantitative analysis and decision making , مرکز فناوری اطلاعات…
Markov chain model probability of dry, wet weeks during moonson period over Andhra Pradesh
- 1991
Environmental Science, Geography