Witnessing history: sky distribution, detectability, and rates of naked-eye Milky Way supernovae

@article{Murphey2020WitnessingHS,
  title={Witnessing history: sky distribution, detectability, and rates of naked-eye Milky Way supernovae},
  author={C. Tanner Murphey and Jacob W. Hogan and Brian D. Fields and Gautham Narayan},
  journal={arXiv: Solar and Stellar Astrophysics},
  year={2020}
}
The Milky Way hosts on average a few supernova explosions per century, yet in the past millennium only five supernovae have been identified confidently in the historical record. This deficit of naked-eye supernovae is at least partly due to dust extinction in the Galactic plane. We explore this effect quantitatively, developing a formalism for the supernova probability distribution, accounting for dust and for the observer's flux limit. We then construct a fiducial axisymmetric model for the… 
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