Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill ?

  title={Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill ?},
  author={Jonathan J. Day and Ed Hawkins and S. Tietsche},
Arctic sea ice thickness is thought to be an important predictor of Arctic sea ice extent. However, coupled seasonal forecast systems do not generally use sea ice thickness observations in their initialization and are therefore missing a potentially important source of additional skill. To investigate how large this source is, a set of ensemble potential predictability experiments with a global climate model, initialized with and without knowledge of the sea ice thickness initial state, have… CONTINUE READING
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