Why and when peer prediction is superior to self-prediction: the weight given to future aspiration versus past achievement.

Abstract

Peer predictions of future behavior and achievement are often more accurate than those furnished by the self. Although both self- and peer predictions correlate equally with future outcomes, peers tend to avoid the degree of overoptimism so often seen in self-predictions. In 3 studies, the authors tested whether this differential accuracy arises because… (More)
DOI: 10.1037/a0028124

5 Figures and Tables