Why Should the Republicans Pray for Rain? Electoral Consequences of Rainfall Revisited

  title={Why Should the Republicans Pray for Rain? Electoral Consequences of Rainfall Revisited},
  author={Yusaku Horiuchi and Woojin Kang},
  journal={American Politics Research},
  pages={869 - 889}
Existing studies—most importantly, Gomez, Hansford, and Krause—provide empirical support for an idea often embraced by popular media: The vote share of the Republican Party (as the percentage of total votes) increases when it rains, because the magnitude of decrease in turnout is larger among Democratic vis-à-vis Republican supporters. Considering the compositional nature of aggregated data, we show that the alleged Republican advantage derives in part from an increase in the number of votes… Expand

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