When can we expect extremely high surface temperatures ?

  title={When can we expect extremely high surface temperatures ?},
  author={Andreas Sterl and C. Severijns and Henk Dijkstra and Wilco Hazeleger and Geert Jan van Oldenborgh and Michiel R. van den Broeke and Gerrit J. H. Burgers and Bart Van den Hurk and Peter Jan van Leeuwen and Peter van Velthoven},
[1] In the Essence project a 17-member ensemble simulation of climate change in response to the SRES A1b scenario has been carried out using the ECHAM5/MPIOM climate model. The relatively large size of the ensemble makes it possible to accurately investigate changes in extreme values of climate variables. Here we focus on the annual-maximum 2m-temperature and fit a Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution to the simulated values and investigate the development of the parameters of this… CONTINUE READING


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