What Do We Learn about Voter Preferences from Conjoint Experiments?

@article{Abramson2022WhatDW,
  title={What Do We Learn about Voter Preferences from Conjoint Experiments?},
  author={Scott F. Abramson and Korhan Koçak and Asya Magazinnik},
  journal={American Journal of Political Science},
  year={2022}
}
Political scientists frequently interpret the results of conjoint experiments as reflective of majority preferences. In this paper we show that the target estimand of conjoint experiments, the AMCE, is not well-defined in these terms. Even with individually rational experimental subjects, unbiased estimates of the AMCE can indicate the opposite of the true preference of the majority. To show this, we characterize the preference aggregation rule implied by AMCE and demonstrate its several… 

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