What Constitutes Strong Psychological Science? The (Neglected) Role of Diagnosticity and A Priori Theorizing.

@article{Fiedler2017WhatCS,
  title={What Constitutes Strong Psychological Science? The (Neglected) Role of Diagnosticity and A Priori Theorizing.},
  author={Klaus Fiedler},
  journal={Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science},
  year={2017},
  volume={12 1},
  pages={46-61}
}
A Bayesian perspective on Ioannidis's (2005) memorable statement that "Most Published Research Findings Are False" suggests a seemingly inescapable trade-off: It appears as if research hypotheses are based either on safe ground (high prior odds), yielding valid but unsurprising results, or on unexpected and novel ideas (low prior odds), inspiring risky and surprising findings that are inevitably often wrong. Indeed, research of two prominent types, sexy hypothesis testing and model testing, is… CONTINUE READING

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