Well below 2 °C: Mitigation strategies for avoiding dangerous to catastrophic climate changes.

@article{Xu2017WellB2,
  title={Well below 2 °C: Mitigation strategies for avoiding dangerous to catastrophic climate changes.},
  author={Yangyang Xu and Veerabhadran Ramanathan},
  journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
  year={2017},
  volume={114 39},
  pages={
          10315-10323
        }
}
The historic Paris Agreement calls for limiting global temperature rise to "well below 2 °C." Because of uncertainties in emission scenarios, climate, and carbon cycle feedback, we interpret the Paris Agreement in terms of three climate risk categories and bring in considerations of low-probability (5%) high-impact (LPHI) warming in addition to the central (∼50% probability) value. The current risk category of dangerous warming is extended to more categories, which are defined by us here as… CONTINUE READING
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