Was the 2000 Presidential Election Predictable?

@article{Erikson2001WasT2,
  title={Was the 2000 Presidential Election Predictable?},
  author={Robert S. Erikson and Joseph Bafumi and Bret Wilson},
  journal={PS: Political Science \& Politics},
  year={2001},
  volume={34},
  pages={815 - 819}
}
In late August 2000, at APSA's Annual Meeting, a panel of political scientists offered forecasts for the 2000 presidential election. Although they differed in particulars, most of the forecasters' models incorporated a measure of economic growth plus the president's approval rating. Because the economy was prospering and President Clinton enjoyed phenomenal approval numbers for the eighth year of office, the consensus prediction was a Democratic (Gore) victory by upwards of 6 percentage points… 

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