Voting after the Bombings: A Natural Experiment on the Effect of Terrorist Attacks on Democratic Elections

@article{Montalvo2011VotingAT,
  title={Voting after the Bombings: A Natural Experiment on the Effect of Terrorist Attacks on Democratic Elections},
  author={Jose G Montalvo},
  journal={Review of Economics and Statistics},
  year={2011},
  volume={93},
  pages={1146-1154}
}
  • Jose G Montalvo
  • Published 14 October 2011
  • Political Science
  • Review of Economics and Statistics
Abstract Can terrorist attacks be timed to change the outcome of democratic elections? In this paper, we analyze the electoral impact of the terrorist attacks of March 11, 2004, in Madrid. Studies using individual level postelectoral survey data reach contradictory conclusions. We propose an alternative approach. Since the bombings took place only three days before the 2004 congressional election, we can find a control group of individuals who cast their vote before the terrorist attacks. The… 
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