Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009

@inproceedings{McGuire2016VariabilityIT,
  title={Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009},
  author={A David McGuire and Charles D Koven and David M. Lawrence and Joy S. Clein and Jiangyang Xia and Christian Beer and Eleanor J. Burke and Guangsheng Chen and Xiaodong Chen and Christine Delire and E E Jafarov and Andrew H. MacDougall and Sergey S Marchenko and D. J. Nicolsky and Shushi Peng and Annette Rinke and Kazuyuki Saito and Wenxin Zhang and Ramdane Alkama and Theodore J. Bohn and Philippe Ciais and Bertrand Decharme and A. Işin Doğan Ekici and Isabelle Gouttevin and Tomohiro Hajima and Daniel J Hayes and Duoying Ji and Gerhard Krinner and Dennis P. Lettenmaier and Yiqi Luo and Paul A. Miller and John C. Moore and Vladimir Romanovsky and Christina Sch{\"a}del and Kevin Schaefer and Edward A G Schuur and Benjamin E Smith and Tetsuo Sueyoshi and Qianlai Zhuang},
  year={2016}
}
A significant portion of the large amount of carbon (C) currently stored in soils of the permafrost region in the Northern Hemisphere has the potential to be emitted as the greenhouse gases CO2 and CH4 under a warmer climate. In this study we evaluated the variability in the sensitivity of permafrost and C in recent decades among land surface model simulations over the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009. The 15 model simulations all predict a loss of near-surface permafrost (within 3m… CONTINUE READING

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