Validation of Twitter opinion trends with national polling aggregates: Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump

@article{Bovet2016ValidationOT,
  title={Validation of Twitter opinion trends with national polling aggregates: Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump},
  author={Alexandre Bovet and F. Morone and Hern{\'a}n A. Makse},
  journal={Scientific Reports},
  year={2016},
  volume={8}
}
Measuring and forecasting opinion trends from real-time social media is a long-standing goal of big-data analytics. Despite the large amount of work addressing this question, there has been no clear validation of online social media opinion trend with traditional surveys. Here we develop a method to infer the opinion of Twitter users by using a combination of statistical physics of complex networks and machine learning based on hashtags co-occurrence to build an in-domain training set of the… 

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