Using Prediction Markets and Twitter to Predict a Swine Flu Pandemic

Abstract

We explore the hypothesis that social media such as Twitter encodes the belief of a large number of people about some concrete statement about the world. Here, these beliefs are aggregated using a Prediction Market specifically concerning the possibility of a Swine Flu Pandemic in 2009. Using a regression framework, we are able to show that simple features… (More)

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@inproceedings{Ritterman2009UsingPM, title={Using Prediction Markets and Twitter to Predict a Swine Flu Pandemic}, author={Joshua Ritterman and Ewan Klein}, year={2009} }