Updated projections of future vCJD deaths in the UK

BACKGROUND Past projections of the future course of the vCJD epidemic in the UK have shown considerable uncertainty, with wide confidence bounds. However, recent vCJD case data have indicated a decrease in the annual incidence of deaths over the past two years. METHODS A detailed survival model is fitted to the 121 vCJD deaths reported by the end of 2002… CONTINUE READING