• Corpus ID: 216562523

Universal Masking is Urgent in the COVID-19 Pandemic: SEIR and Agent Based Models, Empirical Validation, Policy Recommendations

@article{Kai2020UniversalMI,
  title={Universal Masking is Urgent in the COVID-19 Pandemic: SEIR and Agent Based Models, Empirical Validation, Policy Recommendations},
  author={De Kai and Guy-Philippe Goldstein and Alexey S. Morgunov and Vishal Nangalia and Anna Rotkirch},
  journal={ArXiv},
  year={2020},
  volume={abs/2004.13553}
}
We present two models for the COVID-19 pandemic predicting the impact of universal face mask wearing upon the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus--one employing a stochastic dynamic network based compartmental SEIR (susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered) approach, and the other employing individual ABM (agent-based modelling) Monte Carlo simulation--indicating (1) significant impact under (near) universal masking when at least 80% of a population is wearing masks, versus minimal impact when only… 

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  • S. E. Falou, F. Trad
  • Computer Science
    2021 Sixth International Conference on Advances in Biomedical Engineering (ICABME)
  • 2021
TLDR
A simulator to simulate the spread of COVID-19 in a virtual country using an Agent-Based Model that runs on top of the Monte Carlo Algorithm and validations prove that this prototype can be very beneficial for a country like Lebanon to carry a better decision making during the pandemic.
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