Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases
@article{Stainforth2005UncertaintyIP, title={Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases}, author={D. Stainforth and T. Aina and C. Christensen and M. Collins and N. Faull and D. Frame and J. A. Kettleborough and S. Knight and A. Martin and J. Murphy and C. Piani and D. Sexton and L. Smith and R. A. Spicer and A. Thorpe and M. Allen}, journal={Nature}, year={2005}, volume={433}, pages={403-406} }
The range of possibilities for future climate evolution needs to be taken into account when planning climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies. This requires ensembles of multi-decadal simulations to assess both chaotic climate variability and model response uncertainty. Statistical estimates of model response uncertainty, based on observations of recent climate change, admit climate sensitivities—defined as the equilibrium response of global mean temperature to doubling levels of… CONTINUE READING
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