Uncertain climate thresholds and optimal economic growth

  title={Uncertain climate thresholds and optimal economic growth},
  author={K. Keller and Benjamin M Bolker and David F. Bradfordc},
We explore the combined effects of a climate threshold (a potential ocean thermohaline circulation collapse), parameter uncertainty, and learning in an optimal economic growth model. Our analysis shows that significantly reducing carbon dioxide ðCO2Þ emissions may be justified to avoid or delay even small (and arguably realistic) damages from an uncertain and irreversible climate change—even when future learning about the system is considered. Parameter uncertainty about the threshold specific… CONTINUE READING
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