Two Kinds of Predictability in the Lorenz System

  title={Two Kinds of Predictability in the Lorenz System},
  author={Peter C. Chu},
The Lorenz system is used to discuss two kinds of predictability: the model sensitivity to inaccurate initial conditions (first kind) and to inaccurate boundary conditions (second kind). The first kind of predictability has been investigated for a long time, but not the second kind. It was found that the Lorenz system has a capability to detect both kinds of predictability since the boundary condition is represented by a model parameter, r. Two sensitivity runs are designed by perturbing the… CONTINUE READING
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