• Corpus ID: 9487750

Towards Reliable Recurrent Disaster Forecasting Methods: Peruvian Earthquake Case

  title={Towards Reliable Recurrent Disaster Forecasting Methods: Peruvian Earthquake Case},
  author={Jorge Vargas and Jonat{\'a}n Rojas and A Inga and Wilder Mantilla and Hulber A{\~n}asco and Melanie Fatsia Basurto and Ricardo Campos and Jonathan S{\'a}nchez and Paula In{\'e}s Checa},
We are interested in recurrent disaster forecasts; these are events such as annual cyclones in the Caribbean, earthquakes along the Ring of Fire and so on. These crises, even smallor medium-sized, are, in fact, critical for the emergency response of humanitarian organizations inasmuch as the sum of casualties and losses attained are as deadly as those that are considered exceptional. The aim of our research is to show that it is possible to use traditional forecasting methods such as: causal… 
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