Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change, and Civil War, 1816–1992

  title={Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change, and Civil War, 1816–1992},
  author={H{\aa}vard Hegre and Tanja Ellingsen and Scott Gates and Petter Gleditsch},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
  pages={33 - 48}
Coherent democracies and harshly authoritarian states have few civil wars, and intermediate regimes are the most conflict-prone. Domestic violence also seems to be associated with political change, whether toward greater democracy or greater autocracy. Is the greater violence of intermediate regimes equivalent to the finding that states in political transition experience more violence? If both level of democracy and political change are relevant, to what extent is civil violence related to each… 
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