Too Bad It Isn't True

@article{Baron1994TooBI,
  title={Too Bad It Isn't True},
  author={Janathan Baron},
  journal={Medical Decision Making},
  year={1994},
  volume={14},
  pages={107 - 107}
}
  • J. Baron
  • Published 1 April 1994
  • Psychology
  • Medical Decision Making
Although the heuristic is not true, there are some things that can be relied on. First, a negative result from a 100% sensitive test will reliably rule out disease, and a positive result from a 100% specific test will be perfectly reliable in ruling in. Unfortunately, there are few such tests available, so this in itself is not a very useful clinical rule. Second, as Boyko points out, for tests with at most a given sensitivity, the one with the highest specificity will be best at ruling in a… 

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  • Medicine
    Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making
  • 1994
The author demonstrates that the greatest clinical utility is not always achieved by using the most specific test in a rule-in decision or the most sensitive test in an rule-out decision.

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  • Mathematics
    Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making
  • 1994
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