Thinking the Unthinkable : The Effects of Anchoring on Likelihood Estimates of Nuclear Warl

@inproceedings{Plous1989ThinkingTU,
  title={Thinking the Unthinkable : The Effects of Anchoring on Likelihood Estimates of Nuclear Warl},
  author={Scott Plous},
  year={1989}
}
"Anchoring" results from insufficient adjustment up or down from an original­ often arbitrary-starting value. Six sets of surveys were designed to assess the effects of anchoring on subjective likelihood estimates of a nuclear war. Based on responses from 1600 students. results indicated that: (a) likelihood estimates were strongly susceptible to anchoring: (b) neither likelihood estimates nor the effects of anchoring were significantly influenced by the ease with which respondents could… CONTINUE READING

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