Thinking Concretely Increases the Perceived Likelihood of Risks: The Effect of Construal Level on Risk Estimation.

@article{Lermer2016ThinkingCI,
  title={Thinking Concretely Increases the Perceived Likelihood of Risks: The Effect of Construal Level on Risk Estimation.},
  author={Eva Lermer and Bernhard Streicher and Rainer von Sachs and Martina Raue and Dieter Frey},
  journal={Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
  year={2016},
  volume={36 3},
  pages={623-37}
}
Recent findings on construal level theory (CLT) suggest that abstract thinking leads to a lower estimated probability of an event occurring compared to concrete thinking. We applied this idea to the risk context and explored the influence of construal level (CL) on the overestimation of small and underestimation of large probabilities for risk estimates concerning a vague target person (Study 1 and Study 3) and personal risk estimates (Study 2). We were specifically interested in whether the… CONTINUE READING