[Theory and techniques of demographic forecasting].

  • Rolf Dinkel
  • Published 1986 in Allgemeines statistisches Archiv


This paper focuses on theories and techniques for forecasting fertility and mortality. Period and cohort analyses of fertility and mortality in Germany over the past century are first discussed. Alternative techniques for forecasting future trends in these variables in the Federal Republic of Germany are then outlined. The economic and social policy consequences of different mortality and fertility assumptions are also briefly noted.

Cite this paper

@article{Dinkel1986TheoryAT, title={[Theory and techniques of demographic forecasting].}, author={Rolf Dinkel}, journal={Allgemeines statistisches Archiv}, year={1986}, volume={70 1}, pages={28-51} }