Theory-Testing in Psychology and Physics: A Methodological Paradox
@article{Meehl1967TheoryTestingIP, title={Theory-Testing in Psychology and Physics: A Methodological Paradox}, author={P. Meehl}, journal={Philosophy of Science}, year={1967}, volume={34}, pages={103 - 115} }
Because physical theories typically predict numerical values, an improvement in experimental precision reduces the tolerance range and hence increases corroborability. In most psychological research, improved power of a statistical design leads to a prior probability approaching 1/2 of finding a significant difference in the theoretically predicted direction. Hence the corroboration yielded by "success" is very weak, and becomes weaker with increased precision. "Statistical significance" plays… Expand
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