The zero-patient problem with noisy observations

Abstract

A Belief Propagation approach has been recently proposed for the zero-patient problem in a SIR epidemics. The zero-patient problem consists in finding the initial source of an epidemic outbreak given observations at a later time. In this work, we study a harder but related inference problem, in which observations are noisy and there is confusion between… (More)
DOI: 10.1088/1742-5468/2014/10/P10016

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