The wisdom of crowds : Predicting a weather and climate-related event

@inproceedings{Hueffer2013TheWO,
  title={The wisdom of crowds : Predicting a weather and climate-related event},
  author={Karsten Hueffer and Miguel A. Fonseca and Anthony Leiserowitz and Karen M. Taylor},
  year={2013}
}
Environmental uncertainty is at the core of much of human activity, ranging from daily decisions by individuals to long-term policy planning by governments. Yet, there is little quantitative evidence on the ability of non-expert individuals or populations to forecast climate-related events. Here we report on data from a 90-year old prediction game on a… CONTINUE READING