The role of ANS acuity and numeracy for the calibration and the coherence of subjective probability judgments

@inproceedings{Winman2014TheRO,
  title={The role of ANS acuity and numeracy for the calibration and the coherence of subjective probability judgments},
  author={Anders Winman and Peter Juslin and Marcus Lindskog and H{\aa}kan Nilsson and Neda Kerimi},
  booktitle={Front. Psychol.},
  year={2014}
}
The purpose of the study was to investigate how numeracy and acuity of the approximate number system (ANS) relate to the calibration and coherence of probability judgments. Based on the literature on number cognition, a first hypothesis was that those with lower numeracy would maintain a less linear use of the probability scale, contributing to overconfidence and nonlinear calibration curves. A second hypothesis was that also poorer acuity of the ANS would be associated with overconfidence and… CONTINUE READING
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