The reference class problem is your problem too

  title={The reference class problem is your problem too},
  author={Alan H{\'a}jek},
The reference class problem arises when we want to assign a probability to a proposition (or sentence, or event) X, which may be classified in various ways, yet its probability can change depending on how it is classified. The problem is usually regarded as one specifically for the frequentist interpretation of probability and is often considered fatal to it. I argue that versions of the classical, logical, propensity and subjectivist interpretations also fall prey to their own variants of the… CONTINUE READING
Recent Discussions
This paper has been referenced on Twitter 5 times over the past 90 days. VIEW TWEETS

From This Paper

Topics from this paper.
34 Citations
32 References
Similar Papers


Publications citing this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 34 extracted citations


Publications referenced by this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 32 references

966–998). LaSalle, IL: Open Court

  • Rudolf Carnap pp
  • Bulletin of the American Mathematical
  • 1940
Highly Influential
7 Excerpts

Philosophy of biology (2nd ed.)

  • E. Philosophy. Sober
  • The representation of Popper measures. Topoi,
  • 2000
Highly Influential
3 Excerpts

Belief and the will

  • B. van Fraassen
  • Journal of Philosophy,
  • 1984
Highly Influential
3 Excerpts

Conditional probability is the very guide of life

  • A. Hájek
  • 2003

Hájek, A

  • Court. Abridged version in Proceedings of the Internation Analysis
  • (2003b). What conditional probability could not…
  • 2002
2 Excerpts

Varieties of propensity

  • M. Goldstein
  • British Journal of Philosophy of Science
  • 2000

Probability theory and probability semantics

  • P. Roeper, H. Leblanc
  • 1999
1 Excerpt

Similar Papers

Loading similar papers…