The probability of the 6‐week lockdown in Victoria (commencing 9 July 2020) achieving elimination of community transmission of SARS‐CoV‐2

@article{Blakely2020ThePO,
  title={The probability of the 6‐week lockdown in Victoria (commencing 9 July 2020) achieving elimination of community transmission of SARS‐CoV‐2},
  author={Tony Blakely and Jason Thompson and Natalie Carvalho and Laxman Bablani and Nick Wilson and Mark Stevenson},
  journal={Medical Journal of Australia},
  year={2020},
  volume={213}
}
Victoria is the unlucky state in a lucky country. Australian states and territories, other than N ew South Wales, have achieved elimination of community transmission of the sudden acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2): 28 days of no locally acquired cases where the source is unknown; twice the maximum incubation period. The situation in NSW is mixed. On one hand, NSW had ongoing case notifications of 10–20 per day in the month to mid-August 2020, arising largely from imported… 

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