The no miracles argument and the base rate fallacy

@article{Henderson2015TheNM,
  title={The no miracles argument and the base rate fallacy},
  author={Leah Henderson},
  journal={Synthese},
  year={2015},
  volume={194},
  pages={1295-1302}
}
The no miracles argument is one of the main arguments for scientific realism. Recently it has been alleged that the no miracles argument is fundamentally flawed because it commits the base rate fallacy. The allegation is based on the idea that the appeal of the no miracles argument arises from inappropriate neglect of the base rate of approximate truth among the relevant population of theories. However, the base rate fallacy allegation relies on an assumption of random sampling of individuals… CONTINUE READING
Recent Discussions
This paper has been referenced on Twitter 2 times over the past 90 days. VIEW TWEETS

From This Paper

Topics from this paper.
3 Citations
14 References
Similar Papers

Citations

Publications citing this paper.

References

Publications referenced by this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 14 references

Exhuming the no - miracles argument

  • C. Howson
  • Analysis
  • 2013
Highly Influential
4 Excerpts

Hume’s problem: Induction and the justification of belief

  • C. Rodopi. Howson
  • 2000
3 Excerpts

Bayesian conditionalization resolves positivist / realist disputes

  • J. Dorling
  • 1992
1 Excerpt

On cognitive illusions and rationality

  • G. Gigerenzer, E. Eells, T. Maruszewski
  • 1991

Piecemeal realism

  • A. Fine
  • Philosophical Studies
  • 1991
1 Excerpt

The ultimate argument for scientific realism

  • A. 320–338. Musgrave
  • 1988
2 Excerpts

Similar Papers

Loading similar papers…