The macroeconomic impact of Trump

@article{Born2019TheMI,
  title={The macroeconomic impact of Trump},
  author={Benjamin Born and Gernot M{\"u}ller and Moritz Schularick and Petr Sedl{\'a}{\vc}ek},
  journal={Policy Studies},
  year={2019},
  volume={42},
  pages={580 - 591}
}
ABSTRACT Donald Trump was the President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. During that time, except for the period since spring 2020 when the COVID-19 pandemic took its toll on economic activity, the US economy has been doing very well according to key indicators like the unemployment rate and GDP growth. Does Trump deserve credit for the booming economy? To address this question, we develop a counterfactual scenario for how the US economy would have evolved without Trump… 
View on Taylor & Francis
ora.ox.ac.uk
6 Citations
Methods Citations
1

6 Citations

Citation Type

Citation Type

The effects of Donald Trump
ABSTRACT What effect did Donald Trump have within and beyond America? This article assesses the policy impact of the President using the new layered framework for understanding the impact of…
The Deregulation Deception
President Donald Trump and his supporters repeatedly pointed to positive economic trends in the United States prior to the pandemic as proof of the growth delivered by his Administration, especially…
Payments Crises and Consequences
TLDR
The findings suggest policies that ensure banks continue to process payments during contractions – including the bailouts of financial institutions in 2008 and the unprecedented support of the financial system during the COVID crisis – have substantial value.
Corporate Financial Transparency, Labor Productivity, and Real Wages
Corporate financial transparency can affect labor markets directly by mitigating information asymmetries and optimizing the matching of heterogeneous firms and employees (matching efficiency channel)…
Reporting Transparency and Labor Market Outcomes
Financial reporting transparency can affect labor markets directly by mitigating information asymmetries and optimizing the matching of heterogeneous firms and employees (matching efficiency channel)…
What determines the effectiveness of Pinyon-Juniper clearing treatments? Evidence from the remote sensing archive and counter-factual scenarios

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 35 REFERENCES
Presidents and the U.S. Economy: An Econometric Exploration
The US economy has performed better when the president of the United States is a Democrat rather than a Republican, almost regardless of how one measures performance. For many measures, including…
The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment
Economic nationalism is on the rise, but at what cost? We study this question using the unexpected outcome of the Brexit referendum vote as a natural macroeconomic experiment. Employing synthetic…
Political Parties and the Business Cycle in the United States, 1948-1984
This paper tests the existence and the extent of a politically induced business cycle in the U.S. in the post-World War II period. The cycle described in this paper is different from the traditional…
The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the
This article investigates the economic eects of conict, using the terrorist conict in the Basque Country as a case study. Our analysis rests on two dierent strategies. First, we use a combination of…
Macroeconomic Effects of the 2017 Tax Reform
ABSTRACT:We use a cost-of-capital framework to analyze the long-run steady state and transition path for GDP as a result of the 2017 tax law. We predict that, for the law as written, the long-run…
Trade under T . R . U . M . P . policies
International trade was a focal issue in the 2016 US Presidential election. Candidate Trump recognised the discontent of certain struggling US workers and amplified their view that international…
Policy Uncertainty, Trade, and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for China and the United States
We examine the impact of policy uncertainty on trade, prices, and real income through firm entry investments in general equilibrium. We estimate and quantify the impact of trade policy on China's…
Fiscal policy during a pandemic
The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions
Although oil price shocks have long been viewed as one of the leading candidates for explaining U.S. recessions, surprisingly little is known about the extent to which oil price shocks explain…
The Near Term Growth Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
This note uses existing empirical estimates of the macroeconomic effects of tax changes to project the near term impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act on US GDP growth. Applying recent reduced form…
...
1
2
3
4
...