The information value of early career productivity in mathematics: a ROC analysis of prediction errors in bibliometricly informed decision making

@inproceedings{Lindahl2016TheIV,
  title={The information value of early career productivity in mathematics: a ROC analysis of prediction errors in bibliometricly informed decision making},
  author={Jonas Lindahl and Rickard Danell},
  booktitle={Scientometrics},
  year={2016}
}
The aim of this study was to provide a framework to evaluate bibliometric indicators as decision support tools from a decision making perspective and to examine the information value of early career publication rate as a predictor of future productivity. We used ROC analysis to evaluate a bibliometric indicator as a tool for binary decision making. The… CONTINUE READING