The influence of selection bias on effort overruns in software development projects

@article{Jrgensen2013TheIO,
  title={The influence of selection bias on effort overruns in software development projects},
  author={Magne J\orgensen},
  journal={Information & Software Technology},
  year={2013},
  volume={55},
  pages={1640-1650}
}
Context: A potentially important, but neglected, reason for effort overruns in software projects is related to selection bias. Selection bias–induced effort overruns occur when proposals are more likely to be accepted and lead to actual projects when based on effort estimates that are too low rather than on realistic estimates or estimates that are too high. The effect of this bias may be particularly important in bidding rounds, but is potentially relevant in all situations where there is… CONTINUE READING
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