The influence of outcome desirability on optimism.

@article{Krian2007TheIO,
  title={The influence of outcome desirability on optimism.},
  author={Z. Kri{\vz}an and P. Windschitl},
  journal={Psychological bulletin},
  year={2007},
  volume={133 1},
  pages={
          95-121
        }
}
People are often presumed to be vulnerable to a desirability bias, namely, a tendency to be overoptimistic about a future outcome as a result of their preferences or desires for that outcome. In this article, this form of wishful thinking is distinguished from the more general concepts of motivated reasoning and overoptimism, and the evidence for this bias is reviewed. The authors argue that despite the prevalence of the idea that desires bias optimism, the empirical evidence regarding this… Expand
Desirability Bias: Do Desires Influence Expectations? It Depends on How You Ask.
Understanding the coherence of the severity effect and optimism phenomena: Lessons from attention
How prevalent is wishful thinking? Misattribution of arousal causes optimism and pessimism in subjective probabilities.
  • J. Vosgerau
  • Psychology, Medicine
  • Journal of experimental psychology. General
  • 2010
Prescribed Optimism: Is It Right to Be Wrong About the Future?
Unrealistic optimism about future life events: a cautionary note.
...
1
2
3
4
5
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 228 REFERENCES
Biases in social comparative judgments: the role of nonmotivated factors in above-average and comparative-optimism effects.
Risk as Feelings
It won't happen to me: Unrealistic optimism or illusion of control?
Egocentrism as a Source of Unrealistic Optimism
Egocentrism and focalism in unrealistic optimism (and pessimism)
A disconfirmation bias in the evaluation of arguments.
Effect of Temporal Perspective on Subjective Confidence
...
1
2
3
4
5
...