The influence of affect on suboptimal strategy choice in the Monty Hall dilemma

@article{Efendi2015TheIO,
  title={The influence of affect on suboptimal strategy choice in the Monty Hall dilemma},
  author={Emir Efendi{\'c} and Sasa Drace},
  journal={Psihologija},
  year={2015},
  volume={48},
  pages={135-147}
}
The Monty Hall dilemma (MHD) presents an intriguing choice anomaly that offers insight into human reasoning. It presents a specific subclass of decision tasks that require the adequate use of Bayes theorem in order to make optimal decisions. In the MHD, participants are presented with three doors with only one door hiding the prize. After their initial choice of a door, they are offered additional information. A different door (one that does not hide the prize and one not chosen by… 
Why Humans Fail in Solving the Monty Hall Dilemma: A Systematic Review
TLDR
A systematic review of literature published between January 2000 and February 2018 addressing why humans systematically fail to react optimally to the Monty Hall dilemma or fail to understand it is presented.

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 61 REFERENCES
The Monty Hall Dilemma Donald Granberg
The Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD) uses two-stage decisions with a host, guest, and a prize behind one of three doors. After the guest makes a choice, the host reveals another door as incorrect. The
Reasoning in the Monty Hall problem: Examining choice behaviour and probability judgements
This research examined choice behaviour and probability judgement in a counterintuitive reasoning problem called the Monty Hall problem (MHP). In Experiments 1 and 2 we examined whether learning from
A new version of the Monty Hall Dilemma with unequal probabilities
Overcoming illusory inferences in a probabilistic counterintuitive problem: The role of explicit representations
TLDR
Correct reasoning seems to depend more on the ability to consider different possibilities than on extensive practice with the game, when the dilemma was presented in the form of an adversary game.
Commission, Omission, and Dissonance Reduction: Coping with Regret in the "Monty Hall" Problem
Do people reduce dissonance more for their errors of commission than their errors of omission? More specifically, do people come to value a disappointing outcome obtained through a direct action more
A randomised Monty Hall experiment: The positive effect of conditional frequency feedback
The Monty Hall dilemma (MHD) is a notorious probability problem with a counterintuitive solution. There is a strong tendency to stay with the initial choice, despite the fact that switching doubles
Are birds smarter than mathematicians? Pigeons (Columba livia) perform optimally on a version of the Monty Hall Dilemma.
TLDR
A series of experiments investigated whether pigeons, like most humans, would fail to maximize their expected winnings in a version of the Monty Hall Dilemma, and showed that humans failed to adopt optimal strategies, even with extensive training.
Learning Inhibition in the Monty Hall Problem
TLDR
Results showed that participants tended to counterfactualize switch losses more than stick losses, adhered to the prescriptions of theircounterfactuals more frequently following switch losses than any other decisions/outcomes, and were less likely to learn the solution as Counterfactual thinking increased, mediated by misestimation of decision/outcome frequencies.
Revisions and Regret: The Cost of Changing your Mind
Decision reversals often imply improved decisions. Yet, people show a strong resistance against changing their minds. These are wellestablished findings, which suggest that changed decisions carry a
The dark side of intuition: aging and increases in nonoptimal intuitive decisions.
TLDR
The examined whether older adults would make more nonoptimal decisions on the ratio bias task than young adults and found that older adults did make moreNonoptimal choices than their younger counterparts and that positive affect was associated with nonoptical choices.
...
...