The global spread of malaria in a future, warmer world.

@article{Rogers2000TheGS,
  title={The global spread of malaria in a future, warmer world.},
  author={David J. Rogers and Sarah E. Randolph},
  journal={Science},
  year={2000},
  volume={289 5485},
  pages={
          1763-6
        }
}
The frequent warnings that global climate change will allow falciparum malaria to spread into northern latitudes, including Europe and large parts of the United States, are based on biological transmission models driven principally by temperature. These models were assessed for their value in predicting present, and therefore future, malaria distribution. In an alternative statistical approach, the recorded present-day global distribution of falciparum malaria was used to establish the current… 

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