The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?
@article{Frey2017TheFO, title={The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?}, author={Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne}, journal={Technological Forecasting and Social Change}, year={2017}, volume={114}, pages={254-280} }
We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation. To assess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, we examine expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs at risk and the relationship between an occupations probability of computerisation, wages and… CONTINUE READING
Paper Mentions
2,996 Citations
Jobs and University Skills: Artificial Intelligence Effects on Employment in the Future
- Computer Science
- 2018
- PDF
Computer technology and probable job destructions in Japan: An evaluation
- Economics, Engineering
- 2017
- 20
- Highly Influenced
- PDF
References
SHOWING 1-10 OF 241 REFERENCES
How Computers Have Changed the Wage Structure: Evidence from Microdata, 1984-1989
- Economics
- 1991
- 1,476
- PDF
The Growth of Low Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the U.S. Labor Market
- Economics
- 2009
- 1,984
- Highly Influential
- PDF
Lousy and Lovely Jobs: The Rising Polarization of Work in Britain
- Economics
- The Review of Economics and Statistics
- 2007
- 1,656
- PDF
The Great Reversal in the Demand for Skill and Cognitive Tasks
- Economics
- Journal of Labor Economics
- 2016
- 362
- PDF