The end of world population growth

@article{Lutz2001TheEO,
  title={The end of world population growth},
  author={Wolfgang Lutz and Warren C. Sanderson and Sergei Scherbov},
  journal={Nature},
  year={2001},
  volume={412},
  pages={543-545}
}
There has been enormous concern about the consequences of human population growth for the environment and for social and economic development. But this growth is likely to come to an end in the foreseeable future. Improving on earlier methods of probabilistic forecasting, here we show that there is around an 85 per cent chance that the world's population will stop growing before the end of the century. There is a 60 per cent probability that the world's population will not exceed 10 billion… 
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