The effect of neglecting correlations when propagating uncertainty and estimating the population distribution of risk.

@article{Smith1992TheEO,
  title={The effect of neglecting correlations when propagating uncertainty and estimating the population distribution of risk.},
  author={Andrew E. Smith and Patrick B. Ryan and John S. Evans},
  journal={Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
  year={1992},
  volume={12 4},
  pages={467-74}
}
Interest in examining both the uncertainty and variability in environmental health risk assessments has led to increased use of methods for propagating uncertainty. While a variety of approaches have been described, the advent of both powerful personal computers and commercially available simulation software have led to increased use of Monte Carlo simulation. Although most analysts and regulators are encouraged by these developments, some are concerned that Monte Carlo analysis is being… CONTINUE READING

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