The dynamics of candidate evaluations and vote choice in 2008: looking to the past or future?

  title={The dynamics of candidate evaluations and vote choice in 2008: looking to the past or future?},
  author={Roy Elis and D. Sunshine Hillygus and Norman H. Nie},
  journal={Electoral Studies},
In this paper, we leverage a 10-wave election panel to examine the relative and dynamic effects of voter evaluations of Bush, Palin, Biden, McCain, and Obama in the 2008 presidential election. We show that the effects of these political figures on vote choice evolves through the campaign, with the predictive effects of President Bush declining after the nominees are known, and the effects of the candidates (and Palin), increasing towards Election Day. In evaluating the relative effects of these… Expand

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