The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: short- and long-term projections.

@article{Bos1992TheDI,
  title={The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: short- and long-term projections.},
  author={Ed Bos and Rodolfo A. Bulatao},
  journal={International journal of forecasting},
  year={1992},
  volume={8 3},
  pages={367-84}
}
"This paper describes the methodology used to incorporate AIDS mortality in recently revised World Bank population projections.... The paper first reviews different approaches for projecting AIDS and its demographic consequences. This is followed by a summary of an epidemiological model that simulates the spread of HIV used in this analysis, and a demographic model that translates mortality from AIDS into population outcomes. These models are then used in a set of simulations, from which the… CONTINUE READING