The conjunction fallacy?

  title={The conjunction fallacy?},
  author={George L. Wolford and Holly A. Taylor and Jason R. Beck},
  journal={Memory & cognition},
  volume={18 1},
Tversky and Kahneman (1983) showed that when subjects are asked to rate the likelihood of several alternatives, including single and joint events, they often make a "conjunction fallacy." That is, they rate the conjunction of two events as being more likely than one of the constituent events. This, they claim, is a fallacy, since the conjunction of two events can never be more probable than either of the component events. In addition, they found that prior training in probability theory does… CONTINUE READING

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