The Use of Ensembles to Identify Forecasts with Small and Large Uncertainty

Abstract

In the past decade ensemble forecasting has developed into an integral part of numerical weather prediction. Flow-dependent forecast probability distributions can be readily generated from an ensemble, allowing for the identification of forecast cases with high and low uncertainty. The ability of the NCEP ensemble to distinguish between high and low… (More)

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Cite this paper

@inproceedings{Toth2001TheUO, title={The Use of Ensembles to Identify Forecasts with Small and Large Uncertainty}, author={Zoltan Toth and Yuejian Zhu and TIMOTHY MARCHOK}, year={2001} }