The Twentieth-Century Reversal: How Did the Republican States Switch to the Democrats and Vice Versa?

  title={The Twentieth-Century Reversal: How Did the Republican States Switch to the Democrats and Vice Versa?},
  author={Andrew Gelman},
  journal={Statistics and Public Policy},
  pages={1 - 5}
  • A. Gelman
  • Published 22 December 2014
  • History, Economics
  • Statistics and Public Policy
In the past few elections, rich states have gone for the Democrats and poor states have voted Republican, but 30 years ago there was no such pattern, and 100 years ago things looked completely different. The twentieth century reversal is not a simple story of voters standing still and parties moving. Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal has happened at the state level but is more complicated locally, with urban/rural divides associated with many of the largest changes… 
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