The Tuvalu Syndrome

  title={The Tuvalu Syndrome},
  author={Adam Millard‐Ball},
  journal={Climatic Change},
Geoengineering research has historically been inhibited by fears that the perceived availability of a technological fix for climate change, such as the deployment of space-based deflectors, may undermine greenhouse gas abatement efforts. I develop a game theoretic model to show that the credible threat of unilateral geoengineering may instead strengthen global abatement and lead to a self-enforcing climate treaty with full participation. A ‘rogue nation’ may wish to unilaterally geoengineer if… 

Geoengineering and global warming: a strategic perspective

  • Johannes Urpelainen
  • Environmental Science
    International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics
  • 2012
If major emitters fail to mitigate global warming, they may have to resort to geoengineering techniques that deflect sunlight from planet Earth and remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. In this

Solar geoengineering may lead to excessive cooling and high strategic uncertainty

It is confirmed that too much geoengineering can occur, leading to considerable economic losses and increased inequality, and compelling evidence of free-driving is found: global geoengineering exceeds the socially efficient level and leads to welfare losses.

Strategic Implications of Counter-Geoengineering: Clash or Cooperation?

Contesting the climate

Scientists predict higher global temperatures over this century. While this may benefit some countries, most will face varying degrees of damage. This has motivated research on solar geoengineering,

Double catastrophe: intermittent stratospheric geoengineering induced by societal collapse

Perceived failure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions has prompted interest in avoiding the harms of climate change via geoengineering, that is, the intentional manipulation of Earth system processes.

The economics of geoengineering

Availability of risky geoengineering can make an ambitious climate mitigation agreement more likely

Some countries prefer high to low mitigation (H ≻ L). Some prefer low to high (L ≻ H). That fundamental disagreement is at the heart of the seeming intractability of negotiating a climate mitigation

Risky Geoengineering Option Can Make An Ambitious Climate Mitigation Agreement More Likely

Some countries prefer high to low mitigation (H ≻ L). Some prefer low to high (L ≻ H). That fundamental disagreement is at the heart of the seeming intractability of negotiating a climate mitigation

Geoengineering and Abatement: A 'Flat' Relationship Under Uncertainty

The potential of geoengineering as an alternative or complementary option to mitigation and adaptation has received increased interest in recent years. The scientific assessment of geoengineering is



On the regulation of geoengineering

New evidence that the climate system may be especially sensitive to the build-up of greenhouse gases and that humans are doing a poor job of controlling their effluent has animated discussions around

Geoengineering: A Climate Change Manhattan Project

This article argues that the lack of success in climate change policy stems from the exclusive focus of policymakers on various forms of preventive regulation. Because climate change regulation

Geoengineering Governance

The difficulties encountered in accomplishing the drastic greenhouse gas emissions reductions necessary to avoid dangerous anthropogenic interference with the Earth's climate system have led to

The economic diplomacy of geoengineering

Abstract‘Geoengineering’ is a new term, still seeking a definition. It seems to imply something global, intentional, and unnatural. For the radiation balance, geoengineering may be fifty years in the

Transient climate–carbon simulations of planetary geoengineering

It is found that the climate system responds quickly to artificially reduced insolation; hence, there may be little cost to delaying the deployment of geoengineering strategies until such a time as “dangerous” climate change is imminent.

The Incredible Economics of Geoengineering

The focus of climate policy so far has been on reducing the accumulation of greenhouse gases. That approach, however, requires broad international cooperation and, being expensive, has been hindered

The economics (or lack thereof) of aerosol geoengineering

Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions are changing the Earth’s climate and impose substantial risks for current and future generations. What are scientifically sound, economically viable, and

On the possible use of geoengineering to moderate specific climate change impacts

With significant reductions in emissions likely to require decades and the impacts of projected climate change likely to become more and more severe, proposals for taking deliberate action to

Geoengineering as an optimization problem

There is increasing evidence that Earth’s climate is currently warming, primarily due to emissions of greenhouse gases from human activities, and Earth has been projected to continue warming

Geoengineering: Encouraging Research and Overseeing Implementation

It is proposed that research on geoengineering be considered separately from actual implementation, and a path in that direction is suggested.