The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment

@article{Pierce2012TheSS,
  title={The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment},
  author={Justin R. Pierce and Peter K. Schott},
  journal={Labor: Supply \& Demand eJournal},
  year={2012}
}
This paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports. Industries where the threat of tariff hikes declines the most experience more severe employment losses along with larger increases in the value of imports from China and the number of firms engaged in China-U.S. trade. These results are robust to other potential explanations of the employment loss, and… Expand
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References

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The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
This paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports.Expand
The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
This paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports.Expand
Import Competition and the Great U.S. Employment Sag of the 2000s
Even before the Great Recession, U.S. employment growth was unimpressive. Between 2000 and 2007, the economy gave back the considerable gains in employment rates it had achieved during the 1990s,Expand
Exporting Jobs? The Impact of Import Competition on Employment and Wages in U. S. Manufacturing
This paper investigates the effect of increased import competition on U. S. manufacturing employment and wages, using data for a panel of manufacturing industries over the 1977–1987 period. TheExpand
Offshoring Jobs? Multinationals and U.S. Manufacturing Employment
Abstract Using firm-level data collected by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, we estimate the impact on U.S. manufacturing employment of changes in foreign affiliate wages. We show that theExpand
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DURING THE PAST 15 years, the U.S. economy has become increasingly integrated with the rest of the world. Among other trends, imports and exports have risen significantly as a percentage of U.S.Expand
Understanding the Role of China in the “ Decline ” of US Manufacturing *
This paper examines China’s role in declining US manufacturing employment and increasing productivity. We present a set of empirical facts using micro-census data from 1990 and 2005 that suggest thatExpand
Survival of the best fit: exposure to low-wage countries and the (uneven) growth of U.S. manufacturing plants
This paper examines the role of international trade in the reallocation of U.S. manufacturing activity within and across industries from 1977 to 1997. It introduces a new measure of industry exposureExpand
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We analyze the effect of rising Chinese import competition between 1990 and 2007 on local U.S. labor markets, exploiting cross-market variation in import exposure stemming from initial differences inExpand
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We assess the impact of U.S. trade policy uncertainty (TPU) toward China in a tractable general equilibrium framework with heterogeneous firms. We show that increased TPU reduces investment in exportExpand
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